With only days before the season starts, I thought I would combine the average draft position from 5 different sites to give an overall top 25. Very few surprises here, but this is basically how the first two rounds would go in a typical 12 team league:
1 - LT - Absolutely zero surprise. His ADP is 1.01 meaning close to noone does not pick him first.
2 - Steven Jackson - Consensus number two pick this year
3 - Larry Johnson - Made a resurgence back into the top three following his contract signing
4 - Frank Gore - Broken hand or not, everyone is still on the Gore bandwagon and he is the first pick after the Big 3
5 - Joseph Addai - The lowest I have seen him go is 8th. All the carries are his in a great offense. Not bad for year 2.
6 - Shaun Alexander - Starting to slip as he gets older. I expect this will be his last great year, but others are already drafting elsewhere.
7 - Reggie Bush - A popular pick, but surprising he has climbed this high. Needs to keep getting into the endzone to validate being number 7.
8 - Brian Westbrook - Has more value than this if your league counts points per reception.
9 - Willie Parker - Finally being recognized as a top 10 back. Pitt’s offense should give him more room this year.
10 - Laurence Maroney - Will probably move up this list after showing what he can do as the primary runner.
After the top 3 of LT, Jackson and LJ, anyone on this top 10 list can prove as valuable as the next. Players like Addai and Maroney could put up identical stats by season end. You are basically drafting based on which offense should give the player more opportunities to score, or which player fits your league scoring better.
11 - Travis Henry - Even though he is in Denver’s offense. This is too high for this injury proned RB.
12 - Rudi Johnson - Consistent numbers each week, but no big games which is probably why he falls to here. But you can’t really go wrong with Rudi.
13 - Peyton Manning - You knew he would be the first QB, but should he really go ahead of the next few players?
14 - Willis McGahee - Looking solid on his new team. He will have some big games this year and be very consistent overall.
15 - Steve Smith - Barely beats out Chad Johnson as the top WR.
16 - Chad Johnson - I predict this will be his best year yet…… and that means he is in for a HUGE year.
17 - Ronnie Brown - Has not impressed anyone in Miami since the end of his rookie year. Was even talk of him not starting.
18 - Maurice Jones-Drew - Explosive player, but too high for a RB in a platoon situation to start the year.
19 - Torry Holt - Says his knee is only about 70%. 19 is to high for an injured older WR.
20 - Terrell Owens - Pretty quiet preseason for TO standards - is he focused, or is the best yet to happen in the season?
21 - Marvin Harrison - Always a safe pick at WR, but there are still more productive RB1s available.
22 - Edgerrin James - Will still dominate the carries, and have a better season than last year with an improved team around him.
23 - Reggie Wayne - I think he will be the better FANTASY wide receiver in INDY this year.
24 - Cedric Benson - Noone giving him much respect yet. If he stays healthy, watch out for great yard and red zone numbers.
25 - Thomas Jones - Without playing in the preseason, I would not have him top 25 on my list.
With no preseason action after last year’s season being cut short by injury, Portis has gone from top 10 to outside the top 25. Quite a fall for a player an RB who was top 5 while in Denver.
Brandon Jacobs does not crack the top 25, but I guarantee by next year, teams will be lookng at him before most wide receiver options.
If Peyton Manning goes at #13, then Carlson Palmer should be top 25. You may even see a new number one fantasy QB if Palmer starts the season with some big games.
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